More Oscar Predictions

So I've already listed six predictions for Best Picture. Obviously, this is one of the most interesting, if not THE most interesting race, so I am especially curious to find out which films will fill the remaining four slots.

Two films that I think have a pretty good shot are Winter's Bone and Toy Story 3. I also think that The Kids Are All Right, Blue Valentine, and 127 Hours have a good chance. I've heard The Town tossed around, but I watched it two nights ago and thought it was good but not great.

I'll go out on a limb and make this my final list:

1. The Fighter
2. True Grit
3. Black Swan
4. The King's Speech
5. Inception
6. The Social Network
7. Winter's Bone
8. Toy Story 3
9. The Kids Are All Right
10. 127 Hours

I don't necessarily agree with all of these choices, I just think that's what they'll be. I wish Shutter Island would get a nod, but as it came out right after last years awards, I doubt it will.

As for Best Director, I think David Fincher (The Social Network) is a sure thing. I also think Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) will be nominated since I don't think he's gotten a nod before. But as for the last three spots, there are six feasible names I can seen filling them, the most likely probably being David O. Russell (The Fighter), Tom Hooper (The King's Speech), and Christopher Nolan (Inception). The other three who have a shot are the Coen Brothers (True Grit), Lisa Cholodenko (The Kids Are All Right), and Debra Granik (Winter's Bone). Maybe the last two are just wishful thinking on my part, since this category is so notoriously short on women, but I can see Granik getting a shot as the indie dark horse.

Of course, there's always the chance that Danny Boyle could get nominated for 127 Hours (which I still haven't seen, and thus can't comment on whether or not he deserves it) or Ben Affleck for The Town (which I have seen, and thought it was a less good version of Gone Baby Gone, so, while I hope Ben gets nominated someday, I hope it's for a better movie than this).

Next up are predictions for the acting categories and maybe if I feel like it, screenplays.